zewkey

UFC, WEC, Affliction, EliteXC and other MMA notes

UFC 76 Parlays

UFC 76 Parlay Ideas

Parlays are combination bets where it’s all or nothing., what I mean is that you must pick all the fights in your parlay correctly or you lose it. The more fights you have in your parlay, the higher the payoff. Parlays can be great when you win, because you make small bets to win big money. Who doesn’t like that? Currently two sites take MMA Parlays BetUs and 5Dimes.

A couple of important points about parlaying fights. First, it becomes more important to find the betting site with the best odds. Your payout’s are multiplied (2.6x for 2 man, 6x for 3 man, 12x for a 4 man,) so the difference in a couple fighters listed at -120 instead of -140 can mean and additional $100 in your pocket. Here’s our Parlay Calculator to help you with payoff figures. Second, heavily favored fighters add very little value to the payout. So, lets leave them out of our parlays. The reward does not justify the risk or the anguish you will suffer after hitting 3 fights only to watch Matt Serra steal your treasure in the main event.

I like to identify a fighter, or two, that I think is a very likely winner and make that fighter my “key.” I then use my key fighter to build several combinations. Tyson Griffin is my key for UFC 76.

  1. Tyson Griffin + Liddell ($1 wins $1)
  2. Tyson Griffin + Shogun ($1 wins $1)
  3. Tyson Griffin + Fitch ($1 wins $2)
  4. Tyson Griffin + Liddell + Fitch ($1 wins $3)

There are the combinations I like in the featured fights. All favorites this time. The last two UFC events I have had losing fighter as my key fighters (Hamill and Grove), it’s time to get things turned around. I have to stay patient and bet the ones I am confident in winning.

September 20, 2007 Posted by zewkey | MMA, MMA betting, MMA odds, UFC 76, UFC 76 Odds, UFC Betting, UFC Odds, UFC Parlays | | No Comments Yet

Ultimate Fight Night 11 Notes-Aftermath

Here’s my opinions on the fighter’s performances.

Kenny Florian- good solid performance. as usual, he showed up ready to go. he effectively handled Din’s stand up and showed more stand up ability of his own. you can see his steady improvement. i am still leary of him against a bulldog like sherk or tyson griffin, but he moves up a notch.

Din Thomas- sustained a knee injury. he was fighting well up to the injury. typical din thomas action. the fight did not go long enough to see how his boxing skills/gameplan would have worked. if his injury is not serious, he stays put. a serious knee injury drops him off the map though.

Chris Leben- you have to move him up a little. he is competitive against anyone and always capable of pulling an upset. Leben is way to inconsistent to play as a favorite against anyone. Good punching and power. Don’t ever underestimate him.

Terry Martin- showed good standup, although his power was not great against Leben (good chin). I think Martin improves off this fight, he should have learned some valuable lessons. Even during this fight he adjusted, by tightening up his punch. Look for more of that. Fitness could be improved.

Pete Sell- Took a tough loss. He looked better in this fight than I have ever seen him. With any luck and a couple breaks, Sell would be in line for a title fight. He just can’t quite get the job done. He should need some extended recovery from this brutal fight, but he will get better. Got hit too much. Should have some good value in his next fight.

Nate Quarry- showed no ring rust. He is a tough dude. His Striking was effective, but he took too much punishment. A sharp puncher with real power could give him some trouble. He managed some submission attempts in a stand up war. Will need some recovery, but he looked good.

Nate Diaz his transitions are great, he has very good instincts. move him up. his striking set up the choke. he should get better and better. Diaz can deal with physically superior guys with no problems. he is very similar to Carlos Condit. As his standup evolves, he will be very difficult to deal with. Great attitude.

Junior Assuncao- competed well until he got hurt with a punch. dealt with Nate’s bjj (very good) effectively early on. Don’t throw him under the bus because of this loss.

September 20, 2007 Posted by zewkey | Din Thomas, Junior Assuncao, Kenny Florian, Nate Quarry, Pete Sell, Terry Martin. Chris Leben | | No Comments Yet