UFN 11 is a great betting card in my opinion. We’ve got a couple polarizing fighters with Chris Leben and Kenny Florian, a talented fighter coming back after a 2 year layoff, and a bunch of TUF alumni displaying their progress. Check out the MMA SuperPage for complete UFN Odds.
The main event features Kenny Florian vs Din Thomas. Florian has retooled his body and game since losing to Sherk and looks to get back into the title chase with a win over Din. The spotlight has not been focused on KenFlo, but he’s fought impressively in 2007. Din Thomas has been successful, as well, this year. His win over Clay Guida is particularly nice, now that Guida has shown the world that he’s for real. MMA betting is not about what you have done, it’s about what you are going to do. Both these guys look like they are ready for a top effort Wednesday night.
You can argue styles and skill sets all you want, this fight will be decide by a small margin and who is able to take advantage of any opportunity. KenFlo probably has an edge in scramblability and Din an edge is striking and physical strength. I am impressed the manner in which Florian prepares, he’s a serious pro all the way and that’s why he will win this one.
Pete Sell’s fight against Nate Quarry should draw a lot of bettor’s attention. Quarry is a very talented fighter who has not fought for almost two years after losing to Rich Franklin. These two have fought before, Quarry earned his title shot against Franklin with a first round KO of Sell. Pete Sell’s recent record is nothing great, but he has been fighting good opponents and competing well. At first glance Quarry seems like a likely winner, “but not so fast, my friend.” In the two years Quarry has been absent, Sell has been getting training, fighting, and improving under the eye of Serra. Sell is in good form and should be able to control the early action as Quarry tries to adjust to his pace. Quarry’s got too many questions to answer and Sell been thinking about that first round KO for two years. Revenge is sweet, especially at +200.