Is it just me or does it seem like Roger Huerta (+110) fights on every UFC card? He shows up again in the main event at the TUF 6 Finale, where he is matched up with Clay Guida (-140). At first glance, many might think Huerta as an underdog is a dream come true. The bookmaker’s don’t make many mistakes, and this could be the classic “trap” bet.
“Guida has beat or came close to beating the very best in the lw division (aurelio, griffin, melendez, thompson). I cant see an inferior wrestler keeping him on his back nor off his own. But for sure guida wont finish this fight.
Guida via Unanimous Decision easily.” -Hardcorelikealgore
Huerta has not displayed much punching power in his previous fights when he was clearly the superior fighter. Without the threat of damaging strikes, Guida should get be able to control where the fights takes place. Guida wrestling ability will be better than anything Huerta has seen.
“I don’t think it’ll be easy for Guida. But the fight that keeps resounding in my mind, is Huerta’s poor TD defense against a solid wrestler in Doug Evans.” -infamoushamster
Georges St Pierre (-250) saves everyone’s holiday season by stepping in to fight Matt Hughes (+200). Their last fight had the most betting action I have ever seen in MMA (other than every time Nick Diaz fights.) St Pierre is the probably the one fighter that deserves to be favored over Hughes. Everyone knows how these two match up, GSP is great standing, Hughes is a wrestling god. Hughes has become one of those guys you love or hate and no amount of analysis is going to change anyone’s mind in this fight. So this is what I think…The opening line has been set to encourage betting on Hughes, as the fight date nears GSP’s odds will get better.
If you like Hughes bet him now, Matt Hughes should never be 2-1 underdog!
If you like GSP wait until the odds get under -200.